Saturday, December 18, 2010

Polish "national tragedy" is hard to shake the economy and stability.

Polish President Lech Kaczynski <P> Figure -154 plane ride April 10, near Smolensk in western Russia crashed, including the Polish president and his wife, the central bank governor, armed forces, including heads and grateful to Mr .97 no survivors, Kaczynski led a delegation scheduled to arrive in Smolensk 10 to mark the "Katyn" 70 anniversary of the event. .The crash shocked the world, Poland, the whole country fell into heavy mourning. .Polish government has announced national mourning week for the next week. .</ P> <P> analysts pointed out that the Polish political stability and economic good, the crash will not be political stability and economic development of Poland, a serious threat. .In addition, the Polish central bank governor, succession issues and the country's future economic policy direction will also become the focus of attention. .</ P> <P> the pace of the euro will not arrest </ P> <P> Under the Polish Constitution, the Speaker of the House 布罗尼斯拉 Fuke Mo Luofu Poland Gaussian 10, has been appointed as acting president. .On behalf of the president will announce in two weeks the date of the presidential election, the election within two months ahead of schedule at the end of 6. .Chinese Academy of Social Sciences researcher at the Institute of East European Tian Ping hole that Poland is a country with sound democratic system, although President Kaczynski killed, but caused the Polish political and economic turmoil can be almost non-existent. .The authority of the Polish history, Professor Liu Zuxi also pointed out that although Prime Minister Donald Tusk Kaczynski rival that year, but the concept of governance is not much difference with Kaczynski, the Polish Council will not be a huge change. .</ P> <P> Polish economy is developing rapidly in recent years, the country's industrial development, the coal reserves in the forefront of Europe, from May 2004 to join the EU since the rapid economic development. .Poland's GDP in 2009 (GDP) growth of 1.7% in the EU 27 member states only in the financial crisis the country to sustain economic growth. .Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), expects GDP of Poland in 2010 and 2011 will achieve 2.5% and 3.1% increase. .As of July 2009, Polish GDP in the world ranked 23, ranked No. 8 in the EU. .Analysts generally believe that the crash of the country's economic situation of Poland a limited impact, the Polish economy will continue to maintain steady growth. .</ P> <P> In addition, the Polish government deficit is also lower than other European countries. .OECD forecasts, the deficit in 2011, the Polish share of GDP this year from 7.8% to 6.8%, if the deficit continues to fall below 3%, the threshold will be able to successfully enter the euro zone. .Professor Liu Zuxi pointed out that the pace of Poland's accession to the euro zone will not be stagnant. .</ P> <P> candidates into the focus of central bankers </ P> <P> the Polish central bank governor Slavonia Mill 思克茨佩克 also killed in the crash, around the central bank and the successor problem .the future of the country may lead to changes in monetary policy has become the core of market concerns. .Polish central bank announced on the 10th, Vice President Deputy President has exercised Weixi lek post, and elections will be held 12 meetings interim president. .Senior officials of the Polish central bank board, said: "Polish government and the banking system remains stable, crash will not threaten the stability of the financial situation of Poland, not a tremendous impact on the market." Goldman Sachs Group also announced the report said, Poland's financial markets will not .suffered a huge shock, air crashes, will not fundamentally threaten the financial stability of Poland. .</ P> <P> Polish central bank governor 思克茨佩克 the country during his lifetime has been more worried about rising inflationary pressures, the Polish central bank has estimated inflation rate this year will reach 3.1%. .9, the bank decided to take measures in the currency market to stabilize the Polish zloty exchange rate. .Polish BRE Bank chief economist Peite Lu said that these measures are not complicated, even in the face of the regime, also be able to change its implementation. .</ P> <P> Peite Lu also pointed out that Poland can influence the situation in the near future will be a successor candidate for the Polish central bank governor. .In recent weeks, 思克茨佩克 is central to economic policy and the principles of calculating profits and other issues with other government and central bank officials of intense discussion. .Analysts pointed out that the new economic policy direction of Poland will depend largely on who will become the next central bank governor. .</ P>.

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