Monday, December 27, 2010

Baxi Jia low interest rates this week or the firing of shots will hit the United States "protracted war".

<P> U.S. Federal Reserve Board (Fed) will be held April 27 to 28 two-day meeting on interest rates and, at 29 am Beijing time to announce the latest rate decision. .Widely expected, the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at 0.25%, and will reiterate the maintenance of low interest rates, "a longer period of time" language. .The "BRIC" Brazil and the United States, one in stark contrast to the strong momentum of economic recovery in Brazil, to further increase the risk of economic overheating, the market expects the central bank may be 28, Brazil's monetary policy meeting held after the announced interest rate .. .</ P> <P> Fed, or do anything </ P> <P> analysts expect the Fed will be 28 after the recovery of the U.S. economy to make positive and optimistic assessment of the situation, but to keep interest rates unchanged 28 .84% probability, in the June 23 and August 10 meeting to discuss interest rates to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.25% probability were 65.4% and 81.9%. .In addition, Morgan Stanley economist Bernard forecast, the Fed is expected early this year in September raised the federal funds target rate. .</ P> <P> It is reported that the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting on interest rates will also be discussed, without prejudice to the financial market and economic recovery in the case of how to deal with up to 1.25 trillion mortgage-backed securities (MBS), .to reduce the current inflation to 2.38 trillion in assets size. .Currently, the Fed policy-making body - the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in the hope that the recent sale of at least six members of MBS and other securities assets. .It is estimated that the New York Fed, the Fed and Treasury MBS purchase behavior led to lower long-term U.S. interest rates by 0.5%. .Once the Fed decided to sell these securities assets, will market a tremendous impact. .Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke had made clear that before the economy has not yet strong enough not intend to sell securities assets. .</ P> <P> addition, the U.S. Commerce Department will release the first quarter of 30 U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) data, analysts estimate, the U.S. first quarter GDP is expected to grow at a rate of 3.5%. .</ P> <P> Brazil must raise interest rates fight inflation </ P> <P> Analysts also widely predicted in April this year, the Brazilian central bank will gradually raised the benchmark interest rate to 11.25% at the end of the year rose to the level of .. .Brazil's benchmark interest rate since September 2009 has been maintained since the historic low of 8.75%. .</ P> <P> international rating agency Moody's Investors Service recently released a report that domestic consumption is the main engine of economic recovery in Brazil, and growing domestic consumption also increased the risk of high inflation and import pressure. .Brazil's inflation rate from the end of 2009 to 4.3% to 5.2% in March this year and may reach 6% in July, close to the Brazilian government provided the warning level of 6.5%. .Moody's believes that Brazil should be taken immediately to tighten monetary policy to raise benchmark interest rates. .Brazilian central bank president Meireleis last week said the current central bank's primary objective is to prevent the rapid rise of inflation. .</ P> <P> China, ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Rin peak travel company, said the future of Brazil, India and other major emerging market countries will become the world's highest growth rate of the economy. .Alonso, head of HSBC Latin America that the Brazilian economy booming, but signs of inflation heating up occurs, the central bank will gradually raise interest rates, expected within the year, the bank may raise interest rates 350 basis points to 12.25%. .</ P> <P> In addition, the Bank of New Zealand will be announced on July 29 and targets the interest rate monetary policy statement. .Most analysts expect the bank to maintain 2.5% of the official cash rate unchanged, as early as June 10 interest-rate hike after the meeting, but this week may change its "monetary policy to maintain the same" argument. .New Zealand Minister of Finance had expected the British Geli Xi, the New Zealand economy growth in the coming year will be more robust. .</ P> <P> Asia, the Bank of Japan will be interest-rate meeting held on 30 June, the market expected the bank will be until the second quarter of 2011 to maintain the current interest rates unchanged. .Japanese Finance Minister Naoto Kan 24, said that the country will continue to implement expansionary economic policies, protection of the still-fragile recovery. .</ P> <P> 2008 the first in the world, said Bank of Israel interest rates to curb inflation and control the housing prices rise, likely in the next few months to gradually raise interest rates. .Analysts predict that by the end of Israel's benchmark interest rate this year will rise to 2.5% in early 2011 could reach 3%. .</ P>.

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