Economic research at the end of the second possibility to increase the thermal experts argued "second stimulus"

The world economy is at the end of the second exploration possibilities increase China's economic growth has slowed, "second stimulus" guess a cause for concern.

According to China Times, 10 July reported that recent research about the "secondary" trigger "at the end of the second stimulus" guess concern, 6 month China manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for 52.4, ring 1.8 percentage than down, two consecutive monthly decline. Therefore, some experts believe that the world economy is at the end of the second exploration possibilities increase at the same time, domestic economy has slowed, China should launch a second round of economic stimulus policies. But more experts believe that fiscal stimulus plan for adverse effects of too much, now you don't need to make the "second stimulus."

Square

China's economy in need of a relative of stimulation, to ensure that at least 6%-8% growth rate, therefore an appropriate degree of stimulation to maintain economic growth is necessary.

Prof. Prof. Su Kim:

"Second stimulus" policy can be introduced, but want to see what purpose.

In a national structure, growth may be reduced, this is the structure and growth of a contradiction. However, 2010-8 should be no problem. Therefore, if the introduction of stimulation policy, be sure to understand what boost is for.

At present, China's economic development is difficult on the one hand, affected by external factors. RMB on exports, employment, the European debt crisis for export; on the other hand, real estate regulation of a great impact, judging from the current situation, real estate investment rate of decline is the probability of an event, and real estate investment 12.5% of GDP, regulation of real estate is correct, but it will hurt economic growth, must find the corresponding policies to compensate.

Dragon Yingfu Ze asset management investment Director of child, Yi:

China's economy in need of a relative of stimulation, to ensure that at least 6%-8% growth rate. Once the economic growth rate is lower than the standard, the problem is not just an economic issue, there may be employment issues as a series of social issues; the so-called economic model transformation that is an empty. China's economic growth model to investment-led, in the short term is difficult to change.

Current real estate basic standstill, the automobile industry for economic contribution is also very limited, and therefore an appropriate degree of stimulation to maintain economic growth is necessary. But this stimulus should not repeat the 4 trillion investment story that should be a transition for a more long-term policy goals. But currently, the economic transformation of the lack of a clear vision and steps, is exactly what we are faced with the problem. In short, the right stimulus policies should have, but it is difficult to predict how the publication of this policy, and therefore on short-term market would result in the kind of impact is also difficult to anticipate.

The leader of the opposition

“二次刺激”没有必要,4万亿刺激政策还没有实施完,现在应该做的是放缓刺激性政策的退出速度,而不是开启新的刺激政策。

北京科技大学管理学院教授赵晓:

财政刺激计划带来的负面效应太多,现在不需要进行“二次刺激”,应该抓住机会调结构,从全球化前提下的外需增长模式向城市化前提下的内需增长模式转变。