Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Germany wholesale and foreign trade association: Germany export next year will be a strong recovery

Germany wholesale and foreign trade association (BGA) Chairman Anton · Borna says to the outside world, although the first four months of this year Germany export dropped significantly, but it is expected to be strong in 2010.

Borna, Germany in 2010 is expected to export growth will be at least 5%, if the full recovery of the global trade export growth of 10% is possible. However, he also expects 2009 Germany export will drop sharply higher than 18% drop after 15% of the BGA prediction.

Borna says that we should pay special attention to later this year, the credit may appear a tense situation. He believes should intensify their divestiture in the banking sector "toxic assets", and in the economic recovery before giving the exporter enough credit financing.

It is reported that prior to Deutsche Bank Chief Economist Norbert · Walter is expected in 2010 Germany export may increase by 1%, to return to the 2008 level needs 3-4 years time.

Korea FTA negotiations over EU 2 years agreement

According to the United States media 13 July reported that lasted for 2 years and 2 months of Korea-EU free trade negotiations in the final of 13 October, the EU plans to reach an agreement at the end of this year and Korea signed value up to $ 100 billion in trade agreements.

Accessing the Korea's President Lee Myung-bak Sweden and Sweden's Prime Minister Reinfeldt day in Stockholm City held talks with Prime Minister's Office. Both sides after the talks on the press conference, said that they were very happy in Korea-EU FTA signed significant progress, and hope to complete the relevant proceedings in order to sign a formal agreement as soon as possible.

It is understood that, if all goes well, Korea and the EU will last September to sign an interim agreement signed in February this year, the formal agreement. After that, the agreement will be by Korea and EU respective legislative approval, to come into effect in the first half of next year.

Korea-EU free trade agreements designed to further open the Korea trade barriers, increasing the EU countries and Korea's trade and investment. For Korea, the EU is China's second largest export market for EU, Korea is be aware of a trading partners, bilateral trade in 2008 reached $ 984. This Korea-EU free trade agreement was signed by the EU in Asia's first aimed at promoting trade more rapid development of bilateral agreements.

It is estimated that this agreement signed and entered into force, the EU and Korea two economies trade between will reach $ 100 billion. Sweden's Prime Minister Reinfeldt stated: "our trade negotiations in the last week has made substantial progress, so I hope that during the period of the agreement reached on the matter. "Currently, Sweden's Prime Minister Reinfeldt EU countries for a term of 6 months.

Although the EU and Korea agreement on this optimistic view, but there are still some EU Member States concerned, the EU's automobile industry is likely to be affected by this agreement, in the manufacturing and processing of job opportunities are likely to go to Korea.

Central to the market to inject 1 trillion yen

Japan Central Bank-the Bank of Japan announced that on the morning of that day will pass in the short-term financial markets open market operations, capital injection to the market 1 trillion yen (about $ 115 billion).

For fear of Dubai debt crisis, and the appreciation of the yen suddenly accelerated, affecting the economic recovery in Japan entities, Japan's Central Bank 1, temporary monetary policy meeting was held, launched by President kitashirakawa Fangming called "generalized quantitative easing," the new deal. The meeting unanimously decided, providing the market with a total of 10 trillion yen, for a period of 3 months, annual percentage rate of 0.1% short-term funds. Central Bank launched this new deal receives high marks.

Japan Central Bank capital supply delivered yesterday, by the end of November, the Central Bank money supply balance 92.2042 trillion yen, high 3.8% sequential increase over 15 months.

Last year after the outbreak of the financial crisis, Japan for the stability of the domestic financial market, Japan's Central Bank has from 16 September to 14 October 19 days inject to the short-term financial markets, of which 10 October day injections amounting 4.5 trillion yen, the highest single day to inject a new high.

Bernanke before the road was shrouded in the clouds.

<P> Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's re-election appear to have had a virtual certainty, Obama and congressional members have expressed considerable portion of his support. .But with the Democratic Party lost election, some members vociferously objected to the prospect of this issue seems adds the sort of uncertainty, with U.S. stocks fell for three consecutive days and therefore (according to "21st Century Economic Report"). .While Bernanke has indeed contributed to contain the crisis deepened, but his "helicopter money" policy of enormous controversy, and the administration over the accommodation, may affect his evaluation. .</ P> <P> experts in the Great Depression as Bernanke, in response to the crisis, its policies to a certain extent, to avoid the deterioration of the crisis and deflation hurt the economy. .As a reference is, after the Great Depression in 1929, when the Hoover Administration to take the "Smoot - Hawley Tariff Act," the gold into the United States, Europe and other obstacles to outdated policies, the deterioration of the credit crunch and the debt was .contraction, resulting in a serious deflation in the United States. .Bernanke was fully aware of the serious crisis exacerbated the destructive power of deflation, it took a bold "helicopter money" strategy to ease the deflationary pressure. .</ P> <P> However, Mr Bernanke seems to ignore, after the outbreak of the crisis, the United States and other countries caught in the financial market liquidity black hole, but not the sense of the base currency liquidity obstruction. .The current international financial market credit crunch and debt deflation, is a typical money market credit crunch and the money multiplier declined. .The Fed could issue to increase market liquidity, the monetary base, but can not change the decrease in demand for private sector credit contraction caused by the situation. .Federal Reserve injected a lot of liquidity, in part for financial institutions hoard, some financial institutions become excess reserves at the Fed, some into commodities and emerging markets create new asset price bubble. .</ P> <P> to inject massive currency market, Bernanke, one-sided emphasis on the early Great Depression, deflation in the United States appear, but the characterization of the Great Depression deflation, rather than root causes. .Recently, Bernanke began to converge by means of open market liquidity, reflected quickly at the beginning of his own note-issuing policy reflection. .Keynesians to second bottom in 1937, the U.S. economy out of government stimulus premature to blame; to the same logic, we can also believe that during the Great Depression of the second bottom and now facing the same risks, it is the government doing good .caused by hand into the heart of the market. .</ P> <P> Bernanke issuing speeding strategies, the United States faces looming crazy bubble and keep inflation risk. .Perhaps Bernanke and his predecessor, Alan Greenspan faced the same embarrassment, that is, either a burst of applause when, after leaving office but was accused of being an important reason for the crisis. .Apparently he did not want to see. .</ P> <P> even if the second term, Bernanke still faces many challenges. .As mentioned earlier, Bernanke response to the crisis "helicopter money" policy, strictly speaking, not the U.S. economy turned the corner; second term, he is likely to face another former situation: 1980, Federal Reserve Chairman Waugh .Park office at the beginning, they face the disadvantage of high inflation. .To overcome this dilemma hidden, Bernanke need to show the courage to risk universal condemnation Volcker year to establish monetary policy inflation target, which is also in the short term will face a lot of questions. .The difference is that with Volcker, Bernanke to clean up their own stalls brewing, while Volcker is a former correction of the fault. .</ P> <P> whether Bernanke to leave or stay, he led the Fed is able to avoid further deterioration of the crisis. .His achievements should be affirmed. .But the most controversial is the deterioration of the crisis eased after Bernanke acted on the Obama team toe, or even contrary to the spirit of the independence of the risk of the Federal Reserve --- try using monetary policy to help Obama ."do good hand" directly into the heart of the market. .A loss of independence of the Fed for the world, obviously Ben Bernanke than shrouded in clouds of uncertainty on the future looked even more pessimistic. .(Shanghai scholar Liu Xiaozhong) </ P>.

European aviation industry will constrain economic recovery strike.

<P> Lufthansa in Germany about 4,000 pilots and air traffic controllers in France this month, respectively, 22 and 23, the occasion of a strike, British Airways pilots will soon join the ranks of the strike. .A strike wave of attacks on the already fragile is the European airline industry, which may inhibit the economic recovery in Europe has just started. .</ P> <P> although not British Airways joint union commitment is extremely important for Westerners to strike during the Easter holidays, but once the strike, will travel more than 70 million people will be affected. .Throughout the strike the airline industry in Europe, employers cut costs is the most important fuse. .Airlines want to survive in appalling conditions in the environment, "tighten their belts", and the staff extremely severe employment situation in period "ends meet", then the dispute is inevitable. .</ P> <P> to combat the global economic downturn, the airline industry suffered heavy losses. .According to the International Air Transport Association statistics, last year, the number of global civil aviation industry suffered its worst recession in decades last year, demand for air passenger traffic decreased by 3.5%, 10.1% decline in freight demand, equivalent to 2 ½ years back passenger market, freight market back three and a half years. .</ P> <P> including British Airways and Lufthansa and other European airlines are no exception. .In order to "difficult environment" to survive, the two companies have in the past two years by means of pay cuts and layoffs, this approach will undoubtedly lead to staff discontent. .British Airways have experienced during the last Christmas 12-day staff strike threat, fortunately, the court held that the strike vote is invalid only dodged a bullet. .In addition, the European airlines also bear the rising fuel costs and other low-cost carriers low-cost competition pressure. .</ P> <P> to British Airways, for example, the company not only to pay high salaries for the cabin staff, but also carry up to 37 billion pounds (about $ 1.54 1 pound) pension deficit. .2008 to 2009 fiscal year (April 1, 2008 to March 31, 2009) in the first 9 months, British Airways pre-tax loss of 342 million pounds, and the entire fiscal year, total losses may be as high as 600 million pounds, well .higher than the previous fiscal year 400 million pounds of losses. .British Airways CEO Willie Walsh said British Airways suffered a huge loss of an unprecedented "only choose to change, otherwise there was no alternative." .His eyes the "change" is to change the business model of British Airways, which cut costs. .Lufthansa pilot strike caused the loss is apparent, will not only give company caused at least 1 billion euros in direct economic losses, but also hit Lufthansa's reputation. .According to market estimates, the BA staff strike may be held for 10 days, will result in up to 25 million pounds per day of direct economic losses. .</ P> <P> British Airways claims that it will not let the joint trade unions "bring down" companies. .If the cabin staff to strike, the company will "take any possible" measures to ensure that passengers travel plans are not affected. .Although the recent British Airways flight has been training new staff to fill vacancies when the strike, but to completely avoid the impact of the strike and the loss is almost impossible. .</ P> <P> round of the European aviation industry will just out of recession strikes the plight of the European economy is not a small impact. .To Britain, it is the last out of recession in major developed economies. .Although Britain out of recession in the fourth quarter, but the long road to recovery and full of uncertainty. .Economists estimate that this year the UK economy will grow by about 1%, and may at any time back into recession. .Seriously damaged if the British aviation industry, the British economic recovery is set to setbacks. .</ P> <P> European economy is no different. .The euro area, for example, economists generally believe that the euro zone is difficult to achieve continued strong economic recovery, this year's economic growth may remain at about 1.5%. .The current economy has affected Greece and other eurozone member countries debt burden, should the continued turmoil in the aviation industry in Europe, the European economic situation will be even more worrying. .</ P>.

Gradual loss of the independence of the central bank can not pull out of a bygone era.

<P> 5 月 23 Sun Mon U.S. "Business Week" magazine "CentralBankersCantReturntoSimplerTimes" the article said, even if the economic recovery, political demands will still be endless, the world's major central banks this would pose a huge threat to independent decision-making. .</ P> <P> 5 9, Federal Reserve Bank called the Federal Reserve held an emergency meeting to discuss the escalating debt crisis, some policy makers worried that a helping hand to the European Parliament will not be welcome. .U.S. Senate debate on the reform of the financial system under way, some Fed officials said that help the European central bank will encourage legislators to maintain the independent status. .Finally, foreign banks, the Fed decided to agree with the short-term currency swaps. .</ P> <P> the central bank is facing political, this is not the first time. .Spend trillions of dollars in public funds help the global economy, the major central banks has been difficult to return to the past era of independent monetary policy. .</ P> <P> Even if the world economic recovery, the central bank will still be the face of these new political aspirations. .</ P> <P> that the central bank can not concentrate on promoting economic growth while curbing inflation this important and difficult task and heart next to the greedy, this trend has many risks. .Implementation of monetary policy should be independent of the political, reason is to focus on the next election than the politicians, the central bank's policy-makers more freedom to take some tough measures against inflation, and, more independent central bank .Good to withstand pressure, to avoid the use of printing presses to pay for government spending. .Many economists worry too much if the central bank decision-making with the political will, then the interest rate policy will become a matter of convenience, more to meet short-term goals. .</ P> <P> To prevent such a situation, central banks need to develop new strategies to cope with unprecedented pressure. .Co-worked with Bernanke at Princeton University did a study at New York University professor Make Ge Butler said the central bank should better explain the work they do and why. .Whether Bernanke moves close to the people in Philadelphia, or listen on Capitol Hill after the common interpretation of the communication strategy do, all of the central bank from government pressure, to remain independent is critical. .</ P> <P> now, the Fed has repulsed the greatest threat before it, including Republican members of Congress David Witt on Fed policy to allow continuous review of proposals. .</ P> <P> However, other central banks are not as effective as the Federal Reserve to maintain its independence. .South Korean government to appoint a fiscal year in January the Bank of Korea attended the meeting of senior officials, trying to maintain low interest rates, this is the first time in more than a decade. .</ P> <P> as Greece and other European governments to get rid of the pressure caused by high interest rates, the ECB decided to buy sovereign bonds, and urged world leaders to reduce the deficit. .Italy, European Central Bank President and members of the Commission Mario Draghi said recently that, in addition to a unified budget, the euro zone have no choice. .</ P>.

If Google lost a huge impact on China's licenses will be subject to.

<P Align=center> </ P> <P> </ P> <P> Internet industry executives and other observers said yesterday that the China threat is no longer sent to Google (Google) operating license, making the latter very likely .was completely banned from entering the world's most populous internet market, and ultimately threaten its leading global Internet advertising company's position. .</ P> <P> Google executives said that if no license, Google will be forced to shut down operations in China - including music, maps and translation services. .Familiar with Google's business in China said that the company has about 350 Chinese engineers, a total of about 500 employees. .The source said that if Google lost the license, many of the most talented employees is likely to quickly switched to other companies. .</ P> <P> Beijing Internet research firm Analysys International (Analysys), chief executive of Young (EdwardYu) said: "The first half of this year, Google and the only confrontation between the Chinese government had some psychological effect, but this time .true impact will be huge. "</ P> <P> in Yang said:" If the license expires, the user can not access Google.cn, will definitely affect user traffic, thus a direct impact on advertising revenue. " .</ P> <P> the data according to Analysys International, the first quarter of this year, Google Internet search in China's share of revenue from 35% to 30%. .During the quarter, Google first vowed to stop censoring search results in China, and then redirect the user to turn the Chinese Google site in Hong Kong. .</ P> <P> statistics for the second quarter has not been announced. .However, in Yang said the Google Internet search revenue in China increased in the second quarter. .</ P> <P> the short term, even if the lost license, Google is also expected to keep at least part of the advertising revenue from customers in China. .Google did not disclose revenue in China, but analysts estimate of 30% to 40% of revenue from customers in China in China in Google.com (rather than Google.cn) on advertisements. .In theory, these revenues will not be Google China site closures. .</ P> <P> Analysys International, the Internet search experts Zhi believe that if Google was forced to withdraw, some Chinese customers may go to ads from Google.cn Google.com, to reduce turn off losses. .</ P> <P> but the premise is that Chinese users can still access Google.com.hk and Google.com-- If Google continues to anger the Chinese government, this premise may become uncertain. .</ P> <P> a person close to Google said Google China may retaliate, to take radical measures shielding in China Chinese Google.com. .Even if China does not take this step, Google's search traffic in China also dropped significantly, since many Google users in China do not know the URL address of the foreign site. .</ P> <P> If you lose the license, Google can continue its operations in China, sales of advertising on Google.com? .On this issue, Google yesterday, there have been internal disagreements. .</ P> <P> analysts have said the smaller Chinese search engine Google is most likely to benefit from the exit. .Microsoft (Microsoft) has been making adjustments to the trouble from the benefits of Google. .Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer • (SteveBallmer) recent remarks that the company believes, remains fully invested business in China will receive the results. .Microsoft has launched in China will be (Bing) search service, but know that the service is not a lot of Chinese people. .</ P> <P> observers say the possibility can not enter the Chinese market, Google is likely to suppress the long-term prospects, the company's share price may have been so pressured. .Caris analyst Sandeep Aggarwal in San Francisco • Aga Waldorf (SandeepAggarwal) estimates that Google is expected from China this year, 300 million to 350 million U.S. dollars revenue. .He added that, taking into account the growth of the Chinese market, these revenues account for Google may have up to 5% of total revenue, and the next 5 years may also increase the proportion of 3 to 4 times. .Another Silicon Valley financiers are expected, the risk can not enter the Chinese market has made Google a market capitalization fell by 10% to 15%. .</ P> <P> Aga Ward said: "If Google wants to become the world's top advertising company, you must enter China." </ P>.

Multinational grain merchants want to guard against a number of countries raised when the global "seed overlord".

<P Align=center> </ P> <P> </ P> <P> many countries in the northern hemisphere has entered the peak season for harvesting grain. .The first two years of high food prices so that people still remember this year like? .Former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger in the 20th century had spoken to 70 years: "If you control the oil, you control all the countries; If you control food, you control all the people." .So really want to control "all" people? .About this ambition, but not easy to implement. .In the successful "capture" the South American food for the great country, the "Monsanto" and other multinational grain merchants then have to be European and African countries to play a "Strikes Back", it is clear that many countries have in food security-sensitive sense of smell to "back off flavor ."came. .Some experts advise, to have suffered losses on soybean planting in China, other countries and transnational grain between predators performed for each species in a military stalemate is "a great teaching case." .</ P> <P> multinational grain merchants "capture" of Brazil, Argentina </ P> <P> in the world's second-largest agricultural exporter, Brazil, who had been surrounded by tropical rainforest in the Amazon region, many of these trees by the local agricultural .producers to cut, to grow soybeans. .Gradually formed in this soybean producing areas of the Amazon, there is a Filiz to the Hindu from the 120-kilometer ancient "soy highway", along the highway has opened up 14 new large-scale farms plant soybeans. .From the United States, ADM, Bunge and Cargill three multinational grain merchants along this road in 23 large-scale investment in new granary, dedicated to the acquisition and storage of these farms produced soybeans. .They are also the hinterland of the Amazon city of Santarem soybean wharf construction, and from there shipped to Brazil's soybean exports. .Multinational grain merchants are active in the Brazilian scene, every year the harvest will be repeated. .Them through the storage and transport, easy to control the region's soybean trade. .And in the price, multinational grain merchants in the acquisition of the Brazilian agricultural Shiyou agricultural futures market in Chicago is the price shall prevail. .</ P> <P> According to the Brazilian Federation of Agriculture in a recent survey, 84% of Brazil's soybean exports are ADM, Bunge, Cargill and Louis Dreyfus of France the acquisition of four cross-border and export of grain. .The Council is responsible for foreign trade and international affairs Duonizete said, "This situation of over-concentration directly affects the income of farmers." .Brazil News article about the 2006 soybean production Zhuangao also mentioned that "four multinationals control Brazil's soybean production, harvesting until the sale of the entire process", if farmers want to leave the multinational companies in Brazil to "go it alone" and immediately .will face financial, transportation, customers and other problems. .</ P> <P> export of bulk agricultural products, Brazil is gradually controlled by a few large multinational corporations, but also dates back a dozen years ago. .At that time, there have been in Brazil for the cultivation of genetically modified soybeans is discussed. .After 1997, the multinational seed companies in Brazil, the first to open the gap in neighboring Argentina, Monsanto developed genetically modified soybeans in South America began to promote the planting. .As genetically modified soybeans to reduce the cost of the use of pesticides and herbicides, Brazilian soybean farmers defied a government ban on privately-genetically modified soybeans smuggled from Argentina, planting seeds. .Taking into account the reality of the interests of soybean farmers, the Brazilian government and the Congress must approve the form of executive decree issued to allow the cultivation and sale of genetically modified soy beans. .By 2006, GM soybean acreage in Brazil for the first time more than traditional soybeans. .</ P> <P> in South America, Argentina's agriculture was once a successful model, has a rich agricultural production system based on a large number in the remaining self-sufficient. .But 70 years of the 20th century, a serious debt crisis in Argentina. .The mid-90s, Menem government claims, soaring foreign debt to repay, to the traditional food production into industrial cultivation of GM crops. .Thus, since 1996, Monsanto has started the process of controlling food production in Argentina. .Initially, Monsanto deliberately give up the "technology licensing fee" to attract farmers choose their seeds in Argentina, Argentina for a time became the world's largest uncontrolled experimental field of genetically modified, more than 20 million farmers and small farmers .expelled from their homes, to large-scale commercial agriculture make way for soybean growers. .When the rapid spread of genetically modified seeds, agricultural economy gradually controlled by the Argentine foreign groups when Monsanto began to collect royalties. .Despite the strong protests of farmers in Argentina, but the "technology compensation fund" is implemented at the end of 2004. .So far, Argentina has no choice but to accept this reality --- GM soybean area has accounted for more than half of agricultural land. .</ P> <P> Multinational Seed predators became the "seed police" </ P> <P> in the international arena, it was the company's promotion of cross-species behavior is known as "seed police", the goal is to control the world food .production. .Indian cotton farmers, "corn home," Mexico's native corn seed, Paraguay's large tracts of farmland and the post-war Iraq has eaten no small loss. .Domestic food production controlled by foreign companies, but also to Argentina and other countries began to reflect. .Global food issues NGO "GRAIN" branch in Argentina that multinational corporations control actions initiated by Argentina into agricultural expansion, threats and charges of 3 steps, eventually leading to small farmers in Argentina misfortune, social wealth is extracted, ."This is not a single case, this scene is being repeated all over the world." .Argentina biologists 劳尔蒙特内格 Dr Lo said: "Some people see immediate benefits to chase, wantonly destroy vegetation, planting of transgenic crops, the destruction of the ecosystem, but also between the Government and farmers due to agricultural policy .contradictions, really is very sad for the whole community. "123 </ p>.

U.S. favor the carry trade of hot money leaving a comeback.

<P> Few weeks ago, the market worried about the European sovereign debt crisis, optimistic about the U.S. economic recovery, double the level of emotional boost the dollar rose to its highest position 4 years. .</ P> <P>, however, did not last long, as investors questioned the sustainability of U.S. economic recovery, the trade-weighted dollar exchange rate decreased by 9% in two months. .U.S. dollar carry trade began to stage a comeback. .</ P> <P> Daxidabei </ P> <P> dollars in the past week against a basket of currencies fell more than 2%. .</ P> <P> rocker other end of the recent strong euro against the dollar rebounded, rising 1 to 4 above 1.32, a new high in March. .Pound against the U.S. dollar is approaching a ratio of 1.6, a half year high. .</ P> <P> currency strategist at HSBC Bank UK head David Bloom said: "If the money market is an individual, this time has been confined to a mental hospital ... not happy ... for a while, one will be sad to have not .quite unusual. We dramatic swing from one extreme to another extreme. "</ P> <P> employment indicators and a series of weak economic data and market the U.S. Federal Reserve could further ease monetary policy expectations, is to promote .The main reason the dollar lower. .2 Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. economy from a full recovery as well as "quite a long way to go." .</ P> <P> worries about deflation, helping to play down the role. .St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said branches of the U.S. economy at this stage "than the Japanese in recent years are close to ending any point in time." .</ P> <P> the Japanese economy since the 90s since the last century has been unable to get rid of the vicious circle of deflation. .</ P> <P> hot money away </ P> <P> investors selling dollars while betting on other countries and regions outside of the U.S. economic recovery. .Some Asian countries and regions because of faster growth, less debt, attracting a lot of hot money inflows. .</ P> <P> According to the British "Financial Times" data, the Indian stock market in July net inflows of foreign institutional investors 3.8 billion. .South Korea and China Taiwan stock market last month, a net inflow of foreign capital exceeded 20 billion dollars. .</ P> <P> hot money inflows push up the local currency higher. .Singapore dollar exchange rate is close to a record high, the Indonesian rupiah and Malaysian ringgit exchange rates are a record high of more than a year. .</ P> <P> This is for the U.S. to create conditions for carry trades. .Carry trade refers to the U.S. dollar, investors to low-interest dollars into high-yielding currencies, followed by speculation on higher-yielding assets elsewhere. .In view of the weak U.S. economic trend, the Fed low interest rates are expected to continue until at least the end of 2011. .</ P> <P> analyst difficult to accurately estimate the size of carry trade dollar. .Economic consultancy PiEconomics consultant Tim Lee said the dollar size of the carry trade may now be over 750 billion U.S. dollars, close to the 2004-2007 peak of the yen carry trade. .Resurgence of the carry trade may further weaken the dollar. .</ P> <P> carry season </ P> <P> some investors believe that Asian policy makers may take measures to support the dollar. .The recent rally in the yen to strengthen this view. .Japanese Finance Minister Ye Tian Jiayan 4, said the yen "side up", he will "pay close attention to market trends." .</ P> <P> However, analysts and investors expect the Japanese government will not use the direct purchase of U.S. dollars spent since 2004, made no moves to achieve the goal of pushing up the yen. .</ P> <P> the long term, the dollar carry trade success will depend on the continuing weakness of the U.S. economy and other national and regional economy has maintained strong growth. .</ P> <P> "It means a little tightrope," Li said, as long as the U.S. economic picture is expected departure from the growth lag, it could halt dollar carry trade, pushing the dollar higher. .</ P> <P> currency strategist at BNP Paribas head of 汉斯雷德克 said: "This is a summer market is hedging the season ... ... to fall, it will be the perfect time to turn the operation. ."</ P>.

Western printing busy emerging economies with large asset bubble

The World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and other institutions have recently warned that the US and UK funding for gate wide open again, you may give emerging economies brought an influx of hot money and the asset bubble significant risk, to a certain extent, this also to the current world economy have a maximum of "time bombs".

International Monetary Fund (IMF), the first Vice-Chairman Lipski pointed out that the huge amount of capital mobility opportunities, but also may cause the asset price bubbles and financial instability.

United Kingdom in the financial times last week stated that the United States of banknote printing strategy, will intensify the pressure on Asian hot money, these economies on the one hand facing it allows national currency appreciation, while also worried that the surge in capital inflows would undermine the stability of the national economy.

United States Wall Street Journal, believes that the domestic economy, strong growth combined with Western anomalies loose monetary policy, promote the huge capital flows to emerging markets, but the potential risk behind the prosperity.

The Nobel economics laureate, Stiglitz said that despite the Fed's policy appears to be able to stimulate the United States economy, but in fact does not achieve the intended purpose. Because with a large number of financial flows to the world, problems were brought to the world.

Experts advise that, although these seem to be "happy", but Western wanton new round of quantitative easing measures to emerging markets and world economy risks may greatly exceeded expectations. Fitch Asia Pacific Director Andrew 19, notes that large-scale quantitative easing in the West, perhaps to bring in many emerging economies, creditworthiness risk that loose monetary and fiscal discipline, or closely related to the economy and the US dollar, the country most likely to be affected.

Saturday, January 22, 2011

Cameroon diamond deposits may achieve world class

Cameroon-industry, mining industry and technology development Division 29, confirmed that the Eastern Province of Cameroon, MOBILONG diamond-mining areas of diamond total may reach 7.36 million carats of global diamond, consumption of 5 times.

Head of the Department for industrial and mining of Cameroon stated that this data is Korea's cooperation with Cameroon C & K MINING company Korea expert exploration work conducted recently submitted after the estimated number of potential reserves, the actual storage required further exploration party can be drawn.

C & K MINING company in 2007 MOBILONG mining exploration license. The company said it would before the end of the year the feasibility report, submitted in the actual data of the diamond and the estimated reserves should be more or less large numbers. If the exploitation license, the company will invest in the next 25 years 5000 billion francs (approximately US $ 1 500 francs) and development of the mine, and plans will be ore processing shipped back to Korea.

Cameroon Ministry responsible for industrial and mining enterprises, MOBILONG mineral deposits include not only the market value of a high level of diamond mines, including industrial stone. Once inside the industrialized production, the initial annual output can reach 100 million carats and create direct employment opportunities 3000 and greatly facilitate the socio-economic development in the region.

Cameroon has 50 kinds of mineral resources, many mineral deposits development potential in occupies in the world. Due to the lack of infrastructure, lack of capital and technology, many mineral deposits can only continue to be buried deep under the ground. According to the Cameroon Tribune "reported that only 40% of Cameroon's deposits into the exploration stage, ore trading only UC 0.13% of gross national product (GNP).

CIT crisis-proof "United States Government assistance" wisdom

US Treasury Secretary Geithner "is closely following the" century-old shop CIT Group due to liquidity constraints that progress on the verge of bankruptcy, says United States Government with proper handling of this matter. If the company did not get their required government assistance while on the road to bankruptcy, the United States will have 760 manufacturing enterprise is affected, and another 30 000 retailers will bear the risk of "sudden".

To enter the United States this week, century-old shop CIT Group because of the liquidity shortage and on the verge of bankruptcy news that many people are scary. While the media on the c-level executives weekend meeting with Washington officials reported more emergencies so that people think of 10 months previously occurred in Lehman, Merrill Lynch and other investment firms had a curtain. However, US Treasury Secretary Geithner Monday's response on this issue is "is closely following the progress of the CIT crisis", and that the United States Government with proper handling of this matter.

The scale at 750 million commercial lending group already has a 101-year history, mainly for the provision of loans for SMEs, in this industry leading position. According to data released by CIT, as at the end of the first quarter of this year, the company's assets and liabilities for 757 million, to $ 682, including $ 3 billion in deposits; currently accepts credit SME clients have more than 100 000. However since the first quarter, the company is a serious liquidity shortage crisis. According to the reputation rating forecast HKSAR, if the Government cannot help, the fastest CIT will occur in April next year, due to the breach of 21 million of the group credit limit will then expire. According to the CIT leaked an internal report, if the company did not get their required government assistance while on the road to bankruptcy, the United States will have 760 manufacturing enterprise is affected, and another 30 000 retailers will bear the risk of "sudden".

News, 13, Moody was "CIT liquidity conditions and the survival prospects of concern about the increasing" will CIT priority unsecured credit ratings of 4 levels, from "Ba2" to "B3"; sandp downward CIT rating level, from "BB-" down to "CCC +", at the same time issued a statement saying that if the company was unable to reach and United States Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) debt guarantee scheme or through other means to obtain liquidity, "we will consider the issue as bad debt." Monday, CIT slump near 12 per cent, to $ 1.35, spare once fell to $ 1.08; CIT coupon rate is 5% of corporate bonds due 2014 from last Friday's 57 cents to 48 cents.

However, judging from the current United States Government, and industry analysis, while the CIT as United States heavyweight commercial lending institutions, its survival crisis facing the attention, but it is clear that there is awareness of the problems is far to "have a systemic risk" in height. The problem is that in response to those "too big to fail" financial institutions lend a generous hand after the United States Government will choose how to salvage as CIT scale relatively smaller, on financial system threat limited but real economy are closely related to financial institutions. At present CIT hopes to have a federal loan guarantees, but according to the United States officials said Monday that the United States Government on such a request may not accept according to the order.

Industry speculation about a possible solution is that the Government allow CIT into orderly bankruptcy proceedings, but the commitment in its restructuring after certain level of financial support, allowing the reorganized new companies to become a more robust and profitability increased lending company. This kind of guessing the reason based on three points. First of all, analysts believe that the United States regulatory agencies now fear that further implementation of the generous aid may damage the operation of private market full recovery. Therefore, the BurnRights will not cause systemic risks of the United States Government may be more willing to rely on market forces to solve the problem.

Second, the consequences of the closure of CIT should not be so serious. Current Washington officials in few people think of bankruptcy will CIT Bear Stearns or AIG such bodies would threaten the entire financial system, and the CIT on United States entity economic threats have not imagined. Although the United States, great and small loan amount, but business highly decentralized. According to the United States BusinessWeek data provided, the current United States each year, SME loans of more than 1 trillion, and CIT loan only accounts for the total size of a few percentage points. "If the CIT disappeared tomorrow, does not mean the end of the world has come. "United States AEX commercial finance company CEO Stephen? Bush said," this may give it an existing customer cause some inconvenience, but the more credible a lending institution will cover seconds CIT vacancies. ”

Finally, the issue of CIT even without the Government's overall aid, is relatively easy to solve, because the crisis more sources to high-cost loans, not the bad loans. Prior to this crisis of major banks more because of bad loans or toxic assets surge in liquidity difficulties, they are disposed of these up to billions of dollars, long desired a decade or even decades would make it possible to recover the bad loans. By contrast, the CIT loan allocation relative stability. Data show that as of 31 March for the first quarter, CIT reversed not recycling loan 2.41% United States Bank 2.85%, the United States express 8.5%.

CIT's problem is financing. Traditional banks mainly rely on cheap and stable customer deposits for its lending and financing, CIT is long-term reliance on wholesale Fund, while in the market decline from the Fund for financing usually have to pay a very high cost. The result is the net interest rate, CIT, namely the payment of profit in wholesale Fund amount and loan interest income between profit space in the first quarter of the total profits shrank to the assets of 1.13%, less than half of last year. This, together with bad loans increase makes CIT first quarter record 4.38 billion loss.

Analysts believe that CIT can pass application

Bankruptcy to walk out of the current difficulties. In other words, although the shareholders could be affected by loss, but by allowing creditors of the subsidiary ticket holders will be his debt Exchange into the reorganized company, you can reduce the company's debt. In addressing the issue of the balance sheet, the company rating may be upgraded, the future cost of borrowing will naturally goes down for CIT, out of the predicament of the key is to reduce the cost of financing.

Of course, in the process, the Government cannot stand by and do nothing. At the end of December last year, the CIT to bank holding company, then from the Ministry of finance was 23.3 billion rescue Fund. Sources said that Government officials consider adopting a package of programmes, including through an exemption from regulatory requirements for CIT can more easily move assets from parent company transferred to its banking sector, while allowing CIT through other governmental assistance projects to receive financial assistance. Analysts believe that, to accelerate the restructuring of CIT, regulators can undertake its reorganized using specialized Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) funds to carry out its part of the debt, in order to ensure its security on 100 million SMEs loans of continuity. Calculation of the United States Government may have to spend billions of dollars for this, but compared to previously on the 19 large bank rescue costs, this is only partly right. More importantly, as BusinessWeek says, this solution can provide the United States taxpayers that frequently took out of billions of dollars helping financial institutions time has come to an end.

Germany VW announced that 39 million euros purchase Porsche ownership

39 billion euros turnover — Germany public acquisition of Porsche 49.9% of the shares. The reporter was informed yesterday, Germany-Volkswagen has step-by-step implementation and to Porsche merger plan of the second important step, namely Germany public acquisition of Porsche sports car business, turnover 49.9% up to € 39 million. The deal means that Porsche and VW finally complete the merge, the supervision of the two companies will have approved the merger. The public expressed the hope that in 2011 to complete before the end of the sports car manufacturer's acquisition, through the merger of the mass and Porsche, a comprehensive automobile group is forming. Public reiterated that the mass and the Porsche merger synergies and value will reach 7 billion euros.

It is reported that last week in Hamburg at the special general meeting of shareholders, the public Group Board of Directors approved sale 1.35 billion of preferred stock to complete acquisition of Porsche, the preferred stock issuance programme implementation is valid to December 2014. Mass estimates, the Porsche group and Europe's largest distributor of Porsche Holding AG, the total value of assets to 160 million euros, including equity and debt.

According to previous Porsche and Volkswagen Board of supervisors approved two companies merge rules for the implementation of the agreement, starting from the end of this year, the two companies will begin to implement complicated steps. Detailed rules for the implementation of the agreement the two companies merged organization structure, size and legal framework. Prior to that, the Chairman of the Volkswagen and the one responsible for finance and control of the Board members have joined the Porsche at the end of November, and the Board of Directors as Porsche's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, both at the same time to assume the duties of the public Board of Directors.

Public information displays, Porsche is the famous luxury sports car brand, Germany Volkswagen is Europe's largest car manufacturer. In fact, Volkswagen and Porsche's historical origin has existed for a long time, the mass of the first leadership is the founder of Porsche and Volkswagen is currently the Chairman of the Supervisory Council is his grandson.

It is learnt that the mass is driving a Porsche became its first 10 brand. In fact, the first Porsche trying to purchase mass, the goal is to have a mass of 75 per cent of the shares, thus given the mass of the ultimate decision-making power. But due to the credit market and the lack of funds, amounted to a net debt when Porsche rapid expansion, culminating in its acquisition by mass reverse to avoid bankruptcy of the company.

Global employment situation is "good" or "bad-mouth"?.

<P> The annual World Economic Forum, in addition to the Swiss town of Davos, business opportunities and visibility, there are a variety of viewpoints confrontation and controversy, the global employment situation and the forecast is one example. .</ P> <P> during this year's World Economic Forum, Davos, a famous accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers Global CEO Confidence Survey released a report that 80% of the CEO is confident that this year's prospects ., nearly 40% plan to increase employees this year. .However, the ILO said in a report published in 2009 the world population of nearly 212 million unemployed, the unemployment rate is expected to remain high worldwide in 2010, developed countries, there will be 300 million people are unemployed, or will face the world "jobless recovery" .dangerous. .</ P> <P> arguments on both sides is so very different from the side that the global economy still faces many uncertainties, the employment situation is even more difficult to accurately predict. .</ P> <P> economic situation directly affects employment. .The global economic situation is better than the initial financial crisis has been greatly improved, the major economies since 2009 have occurred since the fourth quarter growth, but growth in the United States and other developed economies, driven by restocking and production levels rebounded from historic lows .the next few years, lack of economic activity are likely to face danger, do not rule out the possibility of recession in the second. .In addition, emerging economies and developed economies, the pace of recovery is not uniform, the former early recovery, the momentum of vigorous, and the latter late recovery, the momentum of the soft, staying power, long-term uncertainty. .More importantly, employment growth often lags behind economic growth. .Therefore, once the fluctuations in the global economic situation, even within a small range of cases, may adversely affect the employment situation. .</ P> <P> the current economic situation improved to a large extent from the global government's economic stimulus plan, but the stimulus is double-edged sword, for the recovery will also provide adequate funds to countries with .to the financial crisis and inflation risk. .Some experts advocate a timely exit stimulus plan to make public finances back to normal, but another early exit may revive the economy and stimulate employment efforts fall short. .</ P> <P> So, how in the implementation of the economic stimulus package while maintaining sustainable public finances, prevention and control of risk has become a dilemma in many countries. .Countries choose to directly determine the future direction of the employment situation, but still many variables, which also cast a ray of shadow employment prospects. .</ P> <P> At the same time, the real economy did not get out as quickly as the virtual economy mud. .Overall, global production and trade did not recover to pre-crisis levels, which directly led to job losses, slow growth of employment opportunities. .Lead to real economic recovery is slow, mostly because of structural factors, such as domestic demand, shrinking external demand, trade protection, it would involve re-setting to adjust the international division of labor, financial reform, industrial upgrading and vocational training in areas such as short period of time is difficult to be fundamentally .improvement. .It can be predicted that employment prospects is difficult to fundamentally change soon. .</ P> <P> "good" or "bad-mouthing" no matter whether it actually reflects the people's confidence in the future. .For the global economies, the moment the most important thing is to continue to promote economic recovery, economic restructuring, changes in the economic development model, to eliminate hidden dangers and risks of economic recovery continue to accumulate determining factors of economic development, the only way to fundamentally improve .employment rate. .</ P>.

Japan's January trade surplus continued to.

<P> 24, Japanese Ministry of Finance trade statistics released this year in January, Japan's trade surplus was 85.2 billion yen (1 U.S. dollar equals 90 yen), maintained for 12 consecutive months of trade surplus. .</ P> <P> 1 January, Japan's exports rose 40.9% year on year to 4.9024 trillion yen, rising for two consecutive months; imports rose 8.6% to 4.8172 trillion yen for the 10, 2008 .the first increase since January. .</ P> <P> According to the Japanese Finance Ministry data, the high-tech products, automotive parts and plastic products exports increase in January, its largest trading partner, Japan's exports to China soared 79.9% to 920 billion yen, .3 consecutive months of increases. .</ P> <P> U.S. exports to Japan in January increased 24.2% to 710.41 billion yen, rising to 29 个月来首次. .Japan's exports to the EU rose 11.1% to 579.97 billion yen. .</ P>.

Geithner: Euro U.S. escalation of the crisis is no basis for conspiracy theories.

<P> If not for half a year ago had never met in Istanbul, it is difficult to push the door comes with the high position of the U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner link immediately. .</ P> <P> young, lean, casual, walking hurriedly, Geithner may be overlooked in the crowd. .However, Timothy Geithner (Timothy F. Geithner) has served as the 75th United States Secretary of the Treasury for 18 months. .As the economic recovery as the top priority in the Obama administration, Geithner is undoubtedly the first assistant president. .</ P> <P> 5 25 evening, the second Sino-US strategic economic dialogue (S & ED) in Beijing ended, we at the Grand Hyatt Beijing hotel in a VIP room, on the Gai Nate for .the interview. .</ P> <P> time is not comfortable, ask the subject a lot, we spent the opening direct questions, one after another, Geithner is soon to answer, Speed quickly, on Sino-US relations, about the euro crisis talks .U.S. regulators, about the "China model" of Greek and crisis, "a U.S. plot." .If completed, shaking hands, he got up and went away, colleagues, Mr Ip hurriedly rushed to the door, and then added the last question. .</ P> <P> interview with a serious, ambitious themes, but the opening interesting. .He restated the Chinese in 1981 in the North section of the University experience. .One day, wandering around in his Temple of Heaven, there came the Chinese people excited, and asked which country he came from? .</ P> <P> "I saw at the university dormitory near the paint during the Cultural Revolution slogan 'Death to America'. So hesitated for a moment, but finally told him I was from America. A result, he said, the Americans with .Chinese people like, very direct, open, honest, optimistic. "</ P> <P> in conversation, refer to" Death to America ", Geithner speak Chinese with a smile, after he saw our business card, saying" .wealth of new "sounds very accurate. .</ P> <P> his predecessor Henry Paulson began in mid-career "Chinese touch" is different from a student on Geithner acquaintance in China. .His father Peter Geithner has been overseas in the United States officials of international organizations, has worked 28 years at the Ford Foundation, and is the Foundation's first representative in China. .Follow the family, the small boy in Africa Geithner, secondary school in Asia, and early in 1983 before graduating from Dartmouth College in the United States, it has been twice to China to learn Chinese. .His undergraduate and graduate U.S. professional, are also of Asian Studies. .</ P> <P> However, early experience did not make into the American cause Geithner "China hand" track. .He graduated in 1985 after three years in the Kissinger firm, which joined the U.S. Treasury, then went through the Mexican crisis, Argentina's crisis, and later started in Thailand, Indonesia, increasing magnitude of the Asian financial crisis. .</ P> <P> their ability and experience, Geithner stairs in the Ministry of Finance, from the International Monetary and fiscal policy is responsible for the Assistant Minister for International Affairs, Senior Assistant Deputy Minister, and ultimately served in 1999 .Deputy Minister for International Affairs. .</ P> <P> in the work of the International Monetary Fund, after a brief, November 2003, the New York Fed President becomes vacant, he was appointed to this post, as the agency is not the only Wall Street history to the background of the family. .Geithner and crises always seem to become attached to, beginning in 2007, again in his office on the New York Federal Reserve, the U.S. financial crisis. .</ P> <P> then things will be for people to know it: Geithner and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson when he became the most important U.S. financial crisis three economic policy makers. .January 26 last year, he replaced Henry Paulson, as Obama's finance minister. .Since then, the U.S. government bailout of financial institutions issued with the "Geithner Plan" in the name. .</ P> <P> United States, "Atlantic Monthly" recently published a lengthy feature article, Geithner said in every critical moment of his career, although not the first choice, eventually he will get the others that he is too young .So important is not necessarily qualified jobs, and then dried to the best. .</ P> <P> leave the interview site, Geithner went straight to the airport to fly to Europe. .There are another crisis, waiting for the 49-year-old U.S. Treasury. .</ P> <P> "China and the U.S. are in the relationship between government and market reform. This reform is extremely important and far-reaching" </ P> <P> "New Century": speech this morning in response to the Central Party School? .Your schedule is so tight, why go to the People's University High School for taking the time to play basketball with the students? .</ P> <P> Geithner: I went to high school students to play, is to draw attention to the arena's lighting system. .Stadium lighting RDFZ Iowa company from the United States. .The company produces energy-saving lamps, the rapid growth in China. .Not only to Boeing, General Electric, Dow Corning, or Caterpillar and other global companies, small businesses located in the hinterland of the United States can also benefit from contacts with China. .</ P> <P> the reason I went to Party is more simple. .I want senior Chinese officials here asked me about the U.S. economic and financial reform. .Do not know you were here or not, I will begin to talk about the United States in promoting innovation on the lessons learned. .I have listed a list containing ten lessons. .Of course, this is informal. .In summing up these lessons, we are experiencing heart of China's current challenges. .These lessons for Chinese officials should be very important. .</ P> <P> final speech, I told them a story. .Or when I studied in China, passing through a market near the Temple of Heaven, a man excitedly approached me and asked me from which country? .I was hesitant for a while. .You know, that was 1981, my dorm room at Beijing University, or you can see the paint of the "Cultural Revolution" slogan - Down with the United States. .</ P> <P> Finally, I told him I was from the United States. .He said it is pleased to see Americans, I hope I know, like the Americans with the Chinese, very direct, open, honest, optimistic. .We have in common. .This is a good story. .</ P> <P> the answer to you is not too long? .</ P> <P> "New Century": The Sino-US strategic economic dialogue, do not expect to achieve major? .The two sides there is any differences? .How to find a win-win? .</ P> <P> Geithner: You see, strategic and economic dialogue launched only a year, can say just started, but you listen to the tone of the dialogue, see the discussion topics range from financial reform to health care, from a technical policy .to exports, is really impressive. .I think the dialogue is extremely effective. .</ P> <P> U.S. companies in China, a large number of growth opportunities. .China, of course, the economic recovery from the United States to benefit. .Both came to the global stage, all with a strong will to go to the G20. .The worst of the crisis, when China and the U.S. on the need to take to have a clear consensus on strategy, the whole world to see this. .Sino-US joint response to the crisis is a very gratifying thing. .Strategic and Economic Dialogue is important, we will strive to enhance the mechanism, thereby strengthening the common interests and common challenges of understanding. .</ P> <P> Sino-US differences exist on some things, it is inevitable. .But as I said yesterday, and have been the two economies complement each other. .I know some Chinese fear that the success of the United States to China feel uncomfortable, but also benefit the United States, Americans worry about China the cost of damage. .But this is not our view. .Our view is: the two countries complement each other. .</ P> <P> In addition, the two countries are in the relationship between government and market reform. .This reform is extremely important and far-reaching. .I do not know the future of the mode of China is, but it certainly is changing. .</ P> <P> "New Century": After the crisis, the so-called Chinese model and you have a new American model of thinking? .</ P> <P> Geithner: It is clear that too much U.S. financial institutions to take the risk of serious mistakes, and now is trying to repair. .The Government is rapidly increasing the financial system and to promote regulatory reform program, which is already very close to reaching. .Obama's financial reform program, is committed to financial institutions to curb excessive risk, lower in the whole financial system leverage. .</ P> <P> hand, to provide financial support for innovation, the U.S. financial system is incredibly useful. .I say a classic example, Summers talk about the fact: you are a dropout student, in a garage come up with a new invention. .You do not tie, did not suit, but the invention can be carried out to finance the start of your career. .This is the advantage of the U.S. system, we will retain these advantages. .</ P> <P> the Chinese model will of course not the same. .Compared with the United States, China is very different stage of development, will also learn the lessons of the United States. .However, the U.S. model is still (resilient). .9,000 U.S. financial institutions, in addition to large financial institutions, there are a variety of small establishments. .This market structure is very resilient. .United States still has a very active capital markets, including the bond market, the stock market and asset securitization market to help companies raise capital. .There are other innovative ways of U.S. companies to hedge risk, to raise capital. .These are the advantages of the U.S. system. .</ P> <P> see the basic trajectory of global financial reform, and other countries to learn from the mistakes of the United States, but also replicate the strengths of the United States. .The strengths of the United States is always full of information disclosure, accounting standards very high, very strong systemic checks and balances, and strong investor protection. .</ P> <P> as you know, we made mistakes, but the U.S. advantage is to fix vulnerabilities. .</ P> <P> "New Century": whether you are worried about China's economic growth? .Over the past few decades, several emerging markets, the crisis occurred. .Some people believe that a shock under the emerging market crisis of the world will occur in China. .</ P> <P> Geithner: progressive liberalization of the financial reform and seek a balance between the Chinese leadership has a very sophisticated understanding of the challenges they have to show in the management of impressive skills. .</ P> <P> Sino-US dialogue, as you saw today, the U.S. major concern is that when China continues to promote innovation and technological development of their own, do not take an unfavorable or discriminatory practices in U.S. companies, .not just those who have business in China, U.S. companies, including those of U.S. companies exporting to China. .It is important to us. .It can not be resolved overnight, but we made great progress, China has made important policy adjustments, agreed to a set of non-discrimination principle, all parties agreed to work together to achieve in the next few months .progress. .</ P> <P> That is why I work in a speech at the Central Party School, the American model reflect on the advantages and disadvantages. .The fundamental question is: to promote innovation needs to encourage competition, protect intellectual property rights, need to provide incentives for the financial system, need to allow new market entrants, need to let interest rates and exchange rates, price momentum. .</ P> <P> presentation on the Background to the Central Party School, the same secondary school students with American playing arena lighting system, Geithner highlighted the "humanistic" purposes - the coming years is expected to touch on the international stage .Chinese leaders, contact the most promising group of young people. .</ P> <P> Geithner introduce students to the Central Party School, the success of the U.S. experience and lessons, including: innovation and intellectual property protection; is open to competition, regardless of the competition from domestic or foreign; new entrants to the market .open, including small companies; the highest efficiency savings into productive investment and the most promising innovations; education system to encourage creativity and challenge will; massive government investment in basic research, society is a tolerance for failure; through the market, the price .signal, interest rates, capital prices, exchange rates, including a series of measures to encourage innovation; balance vested interests to prevent its control of the structure of regulatory and incentive mechanisms. .</ P> <P> Geithner in an interview, the Chinese American Chamber of Commerce Mengke Wen (Christian Murck) told correspondents, the latter in China and American companies doing business in China environmental concerns on the "list" has the following description: .government procurement, technology transfer requirements, a certain industry, the sustainability of foreign investment restrictions. .US-China Business Council President Frisbie (John Frisbie) also pointed out to us, the use of non-discriminatory tax incentives and R & D support programs, rather than through government procurement projects and give priority to procurement to promote innovation, and is generally followed the guidelines of the international community .. .</ P> <P> believe Geithner School students in the American experience, while providing indirectly convey the views of the U.S. business community. .From 7,000 billion bailout plan launched to become the turning point of the big banks "stress test" involved in these actions or Geithner person, or direct leadership, currently the U.S. economic situation is better than Europe. .On the banks of the "stress test" is its signature move. .90s in the last century, as a normal U.S. Treasury officials Geithner, had recommended that its Japanese counterpart on the Bank of Japan to "stress test." .</ P> <P> April of this year, the magazine interview had Geithner's predecessors, the Bush administration's Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson. .Paulson said that Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan told him that in a crisis, "Our 'teacher' is in trouble." Paulson's response was, "sobering words." Obviously, from Obama .horse draw attention to "humble" and not with his Chinese counterparts Geithner contacts lost. .On the one hand, of course thanks to the rise of the potential of China, on the other hand, is Geithner understanding of Asia and China dictates. .Lecture at the Central Party School, Geithner specifically mentioned in his early 80s of last century in Beijing, two summer learning experience. .</ P> <P> Geithner seems perhaps to persuade rather than requirements, to promote China's reform is the real - whether the exchange rate formation mechanism reform is still on "independent innovation" - where the key method. .So, can there be Geithner on the RMB exchange rate reform "depends on China's choice" position. .</ P> <P> Geithner's comments in any of both wary of China. .He only said that the United States to avoid Chinese affairs, "find fault" is suspected. .</ P> <P> Geithner led the economic part of the dialogue made considerable achievements. .China's concern on the U.S. side had "independent innovation" provisions may result in discrimination against U.S. companies, the China's commitment to the WTO Government Procurement Committee in July before the meeting, to amend the proposal submitted to the Government Procurement Agreement, and the government procurement law on "national product" .Identification of the draft standards for public comment. .</ P> <P> "Greek sovereign debt crisis is finally what impact will depend on what policy makers in Europe" </ P> <P> "New Century": the Greek sovereign debt crisis, the crisis will not lead to the euro? .</ P> <P> Geithner: What impact this crisis eventually, depending on what European policy makers. .They have given a series of powerful measures for fiscal reform and financial assistance. .They restore fiscal sustainability through policy reforms to promote economic growth; by providing financial support for some countries to stabilize the financial system. .Market now want to see these measures are implemented. .I think that Europe would very quickly to implement these plans. .</ P> <P> "New Century": Some people believe that the U.S. banking crisis escalated the euro played a role in fueling. .Some people even mentioned that this is a U.S. plot. .How do you see? .</ P> <P> Geithner: There is no basis for this view, just trying to focus on to distract from the fundamental issue. .The current US-European cooperation is very close. .The ongoing U.S. financial regulatory reform legislation, during which the U.S. and Europe have very close consultation, for example, discuss how to put derivatives under the sun, making it more open and transparent. .On these issues, U.S. and European point of view is very close. .Of course, we will not support the kind of unilateral action taken by Germany last week (referring to Germany's unilateral ban "naked short selling" euro-zone government bonds, stocks and financial institutions in Germany CDS). .From a historical point of view, neither the effect of these practices, will dampen confidence. .</ P> <P> Background Review "If you have a rocket launcher, and everyone knows you have, you probably do not have to use it." When the fall of 2008, urge Congress to approve the "two rooms" of the relief, the United States before the fiscal .Long Paulson said. .</ P> <P> This does not apply to the subsequent financial crisis in the United States, does not apply to the current debt crisis in Europe. .May 10, the European Commission announced a total of up to 750 billion euros in financial stability plan. .So far, time has passed half a month, but investors are still pessimistic about the euro zone economy, the euro index fell to a low of nearly four years. .750 billion euros of the "rocket", in the end tube does not work, no one at the end. .</ P> <P> when Geithner over Sino-US strategic economic dialogue, in the May 26 meeting in London the new British Finance Minister Osborne, his advice is: "The basic lesson of the financial crisis is that .You have to quickly respond effectively. "</ P> <P> in Geithner view, the EU's financial stability program already has the necessary" elements ", but" the market want to see is action. " .</ P> <P> 7500 亿 欧元 rescue package since the announcement, the European Central Bank branch just started to make their purchase of Greek bonds. .The rescue plan worth up to 440 billion euros in the "special purpose vehicle" (SPV), in the end how to use, is in dispute. .The use of the rescue plan, apply for loans from what the conditions, the interest rate is the number, nor below. .Therefore, whether the rescue plan to prevent the spread of European sovereign debt crisis, investors have doubts about. .</ P> <P> even if all this is your answer, the current round of a sovereign debt crisis of the euro-zone countries, whether it can successfully tighten fiscal expenditure will remain huge questions. .750 billion euros of the "rocket", does enough to help tide over the temporary difficulties of Greece, but the demonstrators on the streets of Athens that structural adjustment should be much more difficult. .</ P> <P> "conspiracy theory" not only in China market. .May 8, at a meeting to discuss aid Greece, Euro group president, Juncker of Luxembourg will be the euro's continuous decline attributed to "the world of organized attack." .However, according to the latest Bank for International Settlements, the global foreign exchange market daily trading volume totaled 3.2 trillion, more than one third of euro transactions. .The euro after all, not baht, such a large market, so speculators to manipulate the shares of the hands? .</ P> <P> the seeds of the euro issue, the first day of its birth had been planted. .Single monetary policy under the euro-zone countries covered, with independent financial powers and taxation rights. .The sovereign debt crisis of the protagonist, although a substantial decline in competitiveness, but in the single currency in vivo, can still enjoy the low exchange rate volatility and low financing costs, and thus live on credit. .The District failed to strictly punish the EU mechanism to "free ride" given the green light, this is the sovereign debt crisis dragged down by the euro, the main cause of falling. .</ P> <P> "build a system to ensure that the agencies 'failure' (failure, bankruptcy) under pressure when there is enough" </ P> <P> "New Century": Are you from the financial crisis .learned anything? .</ P> <P> Geithner: The most basic lesson is that, if allowed to accumulate risk in the financial system, (regulator) was not any early intervention to control risk, the financial system without a toughness, can not absorb the impact of the words ., the loss could be catastrophic. .A related lesson is the time when the crisis began to spread, it is necessary to take prompt remedial measures to overwhelming financial, to control the panic. .This is crucial. .</ P> <P> This is the classic lesson of all financial crises: the core must be in the financial markets, control the scale of leverage and risk, to ensure a stronger impact on the buffer layer, a thicker capital scale, a more conservative financing. .However, when an error has been cast, the world faces a huge crisis, the government must quickly and forcefully to take action. .</ P> <P> I think that China and the United States to take prompt action to have similar views. .I would like to stress the importance of early to take all necessary means to solve the problem, the only way to faster, more cost-effectively solve the problem. .Conversely, if taken tentative, escalating measures, it is impossible to achieve this effect. .I think this is from all the history of the financial crisis reached the most basic experience, but also guide us when we took the work of the creed. .Barack Obama after the presidential inauguration, to be taken quickly and decisively once the most powerful, most comprehensive measures to resolve the crisis. .</ P> <P> "New Century": Do you think the current U.S. financial reform can effectively prevent financial institutions "too big to fail" it? .</ P> <P> Geithner: In the current national financial reform measures, the U.S. financial reform program is to control risk, to ensure that "failed" the best policy framework for control system. .In the future there will be crisis. .Measures taken now is to build a system to ensure that, in the agency "failed" (closure, bankruptcy) is sufficient under pressure. .</ P> <P> We need to stability, resilience and innovation, competition to find a balance between. .Past imbalances, the crisis has only so much destructive power, financial reform, the basic strategy is to build a more resilient system, the impact of a thicker buffer layer. .This institution made a mistake in the future, or facing down the global economy or recession, the financial system to withstand the pressure, absorption loss, the government also allows enterprises to shut down without having to worry about a shock to the global real economy. .</ P> <P> I think this will be the basis of the global financial regulatory agreement, which is consistent with the principles and the G20. .</ P> <P> "New Century": the financial crisis, protectionism in some countries. .Governments should be how to maintain an open and cooperative? .</ P> <P> Geithner: comparison of the last century 30's, 70's and 80's and even post-crisis situation, this crisis is much smaller degree of protectionism. .This crisis is an important feature, is that countries have long pledged to maintain open markets and oppose protectionism. .This is very important for market confidence is also helpful. .</ P> <P> on the Background to "rapid, strong measures" in the implementation of it, it easier said than done, whether government assistance to how powerful, can constitute a real "overwhelming" (overwhelming), to save the market confidence? .History can give directions, but can not give solutions. .How to grasp the rescue measures the "degree", is still a major challenge for the U.S. government. .</ P> <P> 2010 年 5 20 May, the U.S. Senate passed the "reconstruction of the 2010 Act the U.S. financial stability." .Next, the U.S. House of Representatives passed in December last year, "Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act" The merger, once again passed in both houses, you can sent to U.S. President signed into effect. .</ P> <P> different legislative process and health care reform is no longer the U.S. government to take "principle proposed by Congress to complete after the release of specific provisions" of the "neutral" position; this time, the White House, Treasury and the Fed on the law-making .continue to exert influence. .Financial institutions around the capital adequacy ratio increased to reduce leverage, both houses of the Bill is to solve the core version of "systemic risk" issues and "too big to fail" moral hazard. .</ P> <P> version, there are still large differences between both houses. .From the Senate bill would set up a regulatory agency heads from a variety of financial stability posed by the Committee. .This "nine-team" will be responsible for coordinating the different agencies on the management of systemic risk. .Accordingly, also gives the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and other agencies, could threaten the financial system of the body requires more capital, or split them, merge, bankruptcy, liquidation rights. .The final bill may also set up a special "asset restructuring fund" to protect the orderly liquidation agency, and financed from the financial industry to prevent further losses by the taxpayers. .</ P> <P> U.S. financial reform bill will also establish a Consumer Protection Commission, the mortgage, automotive, consumer loans, credit cards to make specific requirements for financial institutions in plain language, to inform consumers of potential risks and .breach of contract. .The agency also have the right to repeal the law with irregularities. .</ P> <P> most controversial, is the regulatory financial derivatives. .</ P> <P> in accordance with the guiding principles of the U.S. Treasury Department, the future needs of financial derivatives in the central clearing system in the third-party settlement, the size of buyers and sellers to make capital requirements in proportion to each transaction, but also paid deposit. .</ P> <P> accordance with the "Volcker principle", U.S. financial institutions will be prohibited "self service" operation; in accordance with the Agriculture Committee, 席布兰琪林肯 (Blanche Lincoln) the proposal may also require banks to finance .derivatives trading department "peel" the principal company. .At present, how to embody in the final bill, "Volcker principle" but also because there is considerable controversy both houses of different versions, but only one purpose: to solve the risk of financial institutions inhalation and leverage issues. .</ P> <P> each round of crisis, protectionism will follow. .In 1930, the U.S. Congress pass the bill, a substantial increase in import tariffs, triggering a trade war between countries, exacerbated the Great Depression. .The current round of crisis, "Buy American" clause also appears on the U.S. $ 787,000,000,000 economic stimulus plan. .</ P> <P> 虽然 November 2008, to attend the first summit of heads of G20 leaders, committed to the implementation of 12 months, no longer any restrictions on trade measures. .But when they come together again to London, the world's 17 countries have taken measures to restrict trade 47. .And once again missed the deadline for the Doha Round of negotiations has always been difficult to progress. .When the peak of the crisis, and some even predicted that this is the end of globalization. .</ P> <P> better way of trade protection in the countries do not slip farther away. .The World Bank on May 25 released a report, as the economy recovers, beginning from the fourth quarter of 2009, trade protection, the number of cases began to fall. .First quarter of 2010, the global launch of the new anti-dumping, countervailing and safeguard the temporary import restrictions and other trade remedy cases fell 20%. .Flattening of the world, maybe really not coming back. .</ P>.

The second quarter, global stock markets and poor students: China A shares.

<P> Problems in the second quarter accounted for a major European newspaper headlines, but in the long run the global economy is more significant in the three months of turmoil in China and the Chinese economy ─ ─ remodeling. .</ P> <P> 4-6 月 Shanghai Composite Index fell 23% in total, fell to 14-month low, now in a bear market area. .</ P> <P> trading A shares Shanghai Composite Index closed at 2398.37 points on Wednesday, down so far this year total nearly 27%, which is the worst performing major stock markets in Asia, and is one of the world's worst performing stock market. .A shares is limited to a small number of domestic investors and foreign institutional investment. .</ P> <P> Although the gross domestic product (GDP) and double-digit corporate earnings growth, but China's stock market decline. .</ P> <P> reflected in the stock market crash of several Chinese investors worry more profound uncertainties, which Beijing has a number of factors including the effect of the property market cooling measures; the cost of labor rising, the Chinese economy to maintain strong .growth capacity, and impact of RMB appreciation. .</ P> <P> the last few days in the quarter, these concerns surfaced, investors in a continuous decline in six trading days, the broader market fell more than 7% suppression, as investors worried that China is not in the second half .maintain strong economic growth. .Investors also are wary of the Agricultural Bank of China (AgriculturalBankofChinaLtd.) size of up to 23.3 billion initial public offering poor response plan issued in mid-July, earlier this week will be set at an issue price below the expected range. .</ P> <P> CLSA Asia-Pacific market (CLSAAsia-PacificMarkets) FrancisCheung equity strategist in Hong Kong, said that once China has solved the current problems, global investors are expected to increase China-related investment. .But he said, it also yet to time, due to decline in GDP and corporate earnings, and real estate tightening continues, he believes Beijing's real estate tightening campaign is far from over. .The impact of falling stock market may be far and China's A share market closed, the majority of regions in the world is still looking forward to China's strong economic recovery to lead the world when weighed on sentiment. .</ P> <P> story of how the Chinese interpretation of the copper play a major role in the construction of bulk commodities, U.S. dollar and other currencies and the reliance on the strength of Chinese consumers will enhance the impact of global enterprises. .</ P> <P> the short term, some analysts believe that Chinese investors have not fully felt the Chinese stock risk. .They pointed out that many of the national real estate bubble and the Chinese manufacturing enterprises in the threat of labor unrest are just around the corner, some people think that this may be the end of the Chinese factory of the world status of the signal. .</ P> <P> Citigroup Inc. (Citigroup), chief economist for Greater China, said Shen Minggao, although a quarter of China's GDP and corporate data unexpectedly strong, but the real challenge will be exacerbated in the case of uncertainty .how to maintain the data. .</ P> <P> Shen Ming Gao said, we call a word that is prudent;, including us, and now many people do not believe that this rapid growth can be maintained in the second half. .</ P> <P> Shen Ming Gao believes that the biggest risk is that the debt crisis in Europe, the U.S. economy is relatively weak, and the stimulus plan last year, China's own attempt to call back. .He expects annual export growth rate will drop to below 20%, well below historical levels. .</ P> <P> With the end of the second quarter, a new theme, that is, the speed of China's currency appreciation, and stood on the center stage. .Policy-makers in mid-June that they would allow the yuan to break through narrow trading range, the exchange rate will be more flexible. .</ P> <P> Beijing will allow the yuan to appreciate how much, what it means for the stock market, the analyst community is still no unified opinion. .However, after the introduction of policies in Beijing on June 21, investors pushed the Shanghai Composite Index by 3%. .</ P> <P> later, this excitement to concerns about economic growth occurs in a wider scope of Beijing's determination to improve exchange rate flexibility in how the questions are endless. .</ P> <P> optimists say the yuan pegged to the dollar policy of relaxation will help reduce China's export products are a threat to levy protective tariffs, while helping to expand Beijing disposable monetary policy options. .</ P> <P> This allows the Chinese government in dealing with future economic challenges, have greater flexibility. .</ P> <P> investors and governments in China and the global economy looking for signs of the rebalancing, the RMB appreciation can also increase the purchasing power of Chinese consumers. .</ P> <P> others hold a more pessimistic view that China's export industry has faced in rising wages, the case of the global economic slowdown, yuan appreciation the core engine of growth will add more pressure. .</ P> <P> China attempts to cool the overheated real estate market, is also a factor in making them feel nervous. .If Beijing succeeded in cooling the housing prices soared last year, it will diminish, directly or indirectly account for about a quarter of GDP, real estate investment. .</ P> <P> If the real estate bubble burst, household wealth will be reduced, developers, construction companies, home appliance and automobile manufacturers stock prices will fall. .</ P> <P> in this uncertain environment, a group of investors has to do more, and that is the major shareholder in China's internal business. .Macquarie Securities (MacquarieSecurities) equity strategist in Hong Kong, Matthews (MarkMatthews) said that in May, the shareholders of the net for the first time in nearly two years to buy A shares. .</ P> <P> Matthews as the yuan's news is good news, this aspect into account, he said, "I do not want to short China at this juncture." .</ P>.

United States Treasury Department released a report that does not have the Chinese exchange rate as currency manipulation powers

Washington--on 8 Jul 08 United States Treasury Department formally submitted to Congress has been delayed a few months of 2009, the second half of the international economic and exchange rate policy report (hereinafter referred to as the "exchange rate report"). The report finds that the United States, including China, the major trade partners are manipulating its currency and exchange rate between the US dollar.

United States in 1988, the integrated trade and competitiveness Act requires the Minister of Finance offers a half-year once the United States the main trade partners of the "exchange rate report". Under the Act No. 3004, the report must be considered whether States to prevent and effectively adjust the balance of payments, or to international trade for unfair competitive advantage and manipulating its currency against the US dollar exchange rate.

United States Treasury Department 8 day reporting period for the 2009 July 1 to December 31, 2009, but also includes the first half of 2010, the relevant information available. The report concluded that the United States any major trading partners during this period have not reached the Act set out in section 3004.

The report noted that in all major economies, with the exception of Brazil, the United States in 2009 and each economies of bilateral trade imbalances are easing. The United States current account deficit in 10 years, the lowest level.

The report states that the 2010 June 19, China announced a fixed dollar exchange rate of RMB to stop, back to a more flexible, more market-oriented exchange rate system.

In addition, the report also praised China 2009, as global economic growth provides important support. In this year, world demand declined 0.6%, China achieve domestic demand growth of 13%, as global economic growth contributed 1.6 percentage points. China's economic stimulus measures led to the United States exports to China in the second half of 2009 increased by 15% over the same period in the United States on the rest of the world's exports declined 13%.

The report scheduled for 15 April this year, but the United States Government has recently decided to postpone the publication. In Obama took office has published two reports of the United States Department of the Treasury, are announced, did not find a trade partner manipulated currency exchange rate for unfair trade advantages.

Iran's oil minister to visit China U.S. pressure to find investment.

Iranian Oil Minister 马米尔卡齐米 <P> led a delegation to visit China 4. .A day earlier, the United States announced new sanctions against Iran, which is understood as his visit to the Western media's "background." .</ P> <P> new U.S. sanctions on Iran to suppress the ability of Iran's gasoline imports, increased access to foreign investment and technology Iran more difficult. .Western media that the Tehran of its oil resources of interest to China looking for investment. .For the Iraqi cooperation, the U.S. State Department spokesman Crowley said: "If China wants to do business in the world, we must protect their own reputation. We understand (the Chinese) economic concerns, but they clearly put the international responsibility .in front of. "</ P> <P> Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Research Office, Wang Jinglie 4 Middle East, said Chinese companies certainly will therefore be implicated. .But did not accuse China of doing business with Iran makes sense. .Iran and Iraq minister's visit is the normal diplomacy, the United States announced sanctions against the new measures is their problem. .This is just a coincidence. .</ P>.

Bank of England governor called G20 "Great Compromise".

<P> Bank of England Governor Mervyn King (MervynKing) 10 月 19 that the world should reach a "great compromise" to coordinate national economic and financial policies to avoid a new round of protectionist wave. .The same day, South African Finance Minister Pravin Gordon (PravinGordhan) not without concern, said that at present there is "a serious threat of competitive devaluation", "If we continue along this path, the result is a trade war" .. .</ P> <P> 10 月 22 日 to 23, to 11 months of the Group of Twenty (G20) summit in Seoul to prepare for the upcoming G20 meeting of finance ministers. .Announced a number of countries around the world intervene in currency markets, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) annual meetings failed to effectively coordinate policies in the context of the parties, Seoul Summit, to be sent to major expectations. .</ P> <P> King said that the current policy of the major economies "direct conflict", the global economy to balance the need to "cooperate" action. .If countries can not find a common basis for cooperation, then the world will face trade barriers and increase the risk of weakening. .</ P> <P> "What is needed is to reach key members of the world economy 'Great Compromise'." King, 19, said, "This need to recognize the true path of economic adjustment agree on is very beneficial, .so as to avoid sliding into protectionism resulting from a series of devastating consequences. "</ P> <P> King also endorsed the Global investors are worried about: national self-interest and reduce the practice of currency exchange rates, .development of a global coordinated policy will flow in the void, and there is competition in trade each country will take measures to maintain their competitive advantage. .China has faced accusations of artificially low exchange rate, the U.S. and Europe, and Japan were criticized a large amount of liquidity injected into the emerging market countries. .</ P> <P> Commenting on why the most recent intervention in currency markets began sweeping across the world, the Shanghai Jiaotong University, Professor of Economics, Pan Yingli, said: "This is the U.S. old tricks. Be pressed a country exchange rate appreciation - the Plaza Accord in Germany .and Japan is an example - while a large number of issued local currency. The agency went to the currency speculators speculation, the appreciation of large capital inflows to the country. "</ P> <P> as today's world currency, the dollar, euro and yen .bear the monetary settlement, the international monetary reserve currency, and other functions. .In this case, if the three parties for their own interests and the implementation of ultra-loose monetary policy, will use the international monetary damage to the developing countries. .</ P> <P> King implemented a floating exchange rate of these developing countries known as the "innocent victims." .Now these "victims" is to fight back. .Brazil has improved in January, financial activities within the two tax (IOF) to control the inflow of foreign capital, India has also hinted that if the rupee appreciation over 43 may intervene in currency markets. .</ P> <P> However, this counter is powerless. .Japan's first intervention in the currency markets proved to be ineffective. .The Brazilian government on October 4 for the first time announced a doubling of the financial activities of tax to 4% since the real exchange rate was up 1.4%. .</ P> <P> Associate Dean of Economics, Fudan University Sun Lijian (blog) that only through the relative balance between G20 and other coordination mechanisms developed to solve the current problems facing the economy, because to allow self-help developed economies, the price is too .too great. .</ P> <P> "The risk is that, unless it can be coordinated to reach a generally acceptable way, or conflicting policies will inevitably reduce the level of global output, all countries will suffer." King said, "must be .recognize the action for the common good is necessary, otherwise, sooner or later there will be one or more countries turn to trade protectionism. "</ P> <P> However, King also believes that the challenges currently facing .great. ."Those who face long-term structural adjustment in order to reduce dependence on the export of surplus countries, who face short-term debt of the deficit countries to reduce public and private expectations, there are obvious differences." </ P> <P> Although the G20 summit of the controversy "natural .place ", but King suggests a lack of confidence on the G20 summit, he said, such agreements need to reach the real" revolution. " .</ P> <P> King of global policy coordination is not the only people who expressed concern. .October 16, European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the global coordination of macroeconomic policy management framework, is the "least developed." .</ P>.

Sunday, January 16, 2011

WTO: world trade will shrink this year 10%

World 1, warning that global trade protectionism is growing, it is expected that this year's global trade will shrink by 10%.

The WTO is expected this year, the total global trade will shrink by 10%, of which 14% reduction in developed countries, developing countries decreased 7%. WTO in March of this year the last forecast global trade volume will be reduced by 9%.

The WTO also warned that the last three months of global trade restrictions and distortions in the policy. Deduction from H1N1 protectionist measures, global new trade protectionism measures for trade liberalization policy more than twice.

The WTO also States in response to the financial crisis and the economic stimulation policy expressed concern that some policies lack of transparency, it is difficult to judge whether these policies will distort the market and hinder competition.

To this end, the WTO appeals, the g-20 should be announced as soon as possible and to stimulate relevant exit strategy, market competition returns to normal.

United States bankruptcy banks since the beginning of this year amounted to 57

17, United States and four banks announced the closure of this makes the United States since 2009 failed bank increased to 57, is the collapse of several last year 25 home twice more, invasive since 1990.

To date, only the month of July, the United States the number of bank failures had already reached 12 home.

The four of the closure of small regional banks in the United States has a home in South Dakota, two are located in California, there is a house located in Georgia. According to statistics, Georgia this year the number of failed banks this has amounted to 10, more than any other State, United States.

4 bank failures are expected to make the United States Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) deposit insurance fund loss nearly 11 million, the Fund this year on the bankruptcy of banks to 134 million total inputs, the input of the year 2008 to 176 million.

According to media reports, the lead United States banks succumbed mainly with large real estate developer is unable to repay the loan. In addition, such as "hot money" and other high-risk sources exist, the dependent is also the cause of some Bank bankruptcy. Although the United States economy showing signs of a bottom, but it is expected that continues to linger in the low point. This is expected, according to experts, by the end of the number of United States Bank would continue to rise.