Saturday, January 22, 2011
Global employment situation is "good" or "bad-mouth"?.
<P> The annual World Economic Forum, in addition to the Swiss town of Davos, business opportunities and visibility, there are a variety of viewpoints confrontation and controversy, the global employment situation and the forecast is one example. .</ P> <P> during this year's World Economic Forum, Davos, a famous accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers Global CEO Confidence Survey released a report that 80% of the CEO is confident that this year's prospects ., nearly 40% plan to increase employees this year. .However, the ILO said in a report published in 2009 the world population of nearly 212 million unemployed, the unemployment rate is expected to remain high worldwide in 2010, developed countries, there will be 300 million people are unemployed, or will face the world "jobless recovery" .dangerous. .</ P> <P> arguments on both sides is so very different from the side that the global economy still faces many uncertainties, the employment situation is even more difficult to accurately predict. .</ P> <P> economic situation directly affects employment. .The global economic situation is better than the initial financial crisis has been greatly improved, the major economies since 2009 have occurred since the fourth quarter growth, but growth in the United States and other developed economies, driven by restocking and production levels rebounded from historic lows .the next few years, lack of economic activity are likely to face danger, do not rule out the possibility of recession in the second. .In addition, emerging economies and developed economies, the pace of recovery is not uniform, the former early recovery, the momentum of vigorous, and the latter late recovery, the momentum of the soft, staying power, long-term uncertainty. .More importantly, employment growth often lags behind economic growth. .Therefore, once the fluctuations in the global economic situation, even within a small range of cases, may adversely affect the employment situation. .</ P> <P> the current economic situation improved to a large extent from the global government's economic stimulus plan, but the stimulus is double-edged sword, for the recovery will also provide adequate funds to countries with .to the financial crisis and inflation risk. .Some experts advocate a timely exit stimulus plan to make public finances back to normal, but another early exit may revive the economy and stimulate employment efforts fall short. .</ P> <P> So, how in the implementation of the economic stimulus package while maintaining sustainable public finances, prevention and control of risk has become a dilemma in many countries. .Countries choose to directly determine the future direction of the employment situation, but still many variables, which also cast a ray of shadow employment prospects. .</ P> <P> At the same time, the real economy did not get out as quickly as the virtual economy mud. .Overall, global production and trade did not recover to pre-crisis levels, which directly led to job losses, slow growth of employment opportunities. .Lead to real economic recovery is slow, mostly because of structural factors, such as domestic demand, shrinking external demand, trade protection, it would involve re-setting to adjust the international division of labor, financial reform, industrial upgrading and vocational training in areas such as short period of time is difficult to be fundamentally .improvement. .It can be predicted that employment prospects is difficult to fundamentally change soon. .</ P> <P> "good" or "bad-mouthing" no matter whether it actually reflects the people's confidence in the future. .For the global economies, the moment the most important thing is to continue to promote economic recovery, economic restructuring, changes in the economic development model, to eliminate hidden dangers and risks of economic recovery continue to accumulate determining factors of economic development, the only way to fundamentally improve .employment rate. .</ P>.
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