Monday, January 3, 2011
Multi-country interest-rate: interest rate? .Marking time? .Send variables to maintain collision.
<P> Interest rates, or maintained? .The global view of the problem divided into two groups. .</ P> <P> today, New Zealand's central bank, Bank of Korea, the European Central Bank, Bank of England, the Brazilian central bank will announce a new phase of the rate decision, while in Europe overshadowed by the economy, the central bank's rate decision several almost no .suspense. .But on the contrary that for New Zealand, South Korea, Brazil, including the country, raising interest rates highly variable. .</ P> <P> maintain school: putting the debt crisis in Europe </ P> <P> the least suspense of the rate decision will come from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. .</ P> <P> the European Central Bank, the tight monetary policy has become increasingly "distant." .Many economists and market analysts believe that the European money market tensions could prompt the European Central Bank in June after the euro-zone banks continue to provide sufficient liquidity to refinance initiatives; also expects the European Central Bank will increase the assets .secured bond purchases. .</ P> <P> can be said that the current euro zone sovereign debt crisis has an impact on the decision to raise interest rates by central banks or one of the important factors, while the core area of Europe in crisis years, the possibility of raising interest rates has been zero. .The United Kingdom with almost all countries within the euro zone can be called poor cousin. .According to a survey released recently, analysts agreed that the Bank of England on Thursday to announce the benchmark interest rate remained at a record low of 0.5% unchanged. .And most analysts expect the Bank of England will keep interest rates low until 2011 in the record to support the fragile economic recovery. .</ P> <P> 6 8, Fitch Ratings said that Britain is facing formidable financial challenges. .If Britain wants to maintain its AAA rating, each accounting for GDP1% additional reduction in the deficit. .Therefore, the market more and more certain that the challenges facing a severe budget deficit in the current situation the United Kingdom able to raise interest rates. .</ P> <P> variables sent: the inflation pressure is not small </ P> <P> If the ECB and the Bank of England's rate decision is indisputable, then the Bank of New Zealand and Korea today, the resolution is full of interest rates .uncertainty. .</ P> <P> yesterday, South Korea Statistics Bureau, the recovery of the domestic economy due to the company's large number of enterprises to promote new jobs, the unemployment rate in the country in May from April's 3.7% decline to 3.2%, to 10, 2008 .the lowest recorded since March. .South Korea's economic growth in the first quarter is expected to reach 2.1% over, so the Bank of Korea expects GDP growth this year, the country will reach 5%. .</ P> <P> strong economic data support the central bank to raise interest rates as a major factor, but market analysts generally agreed that, from the European side of the external factors will constrain the pace of raising interest rates in Korea. .HI Investment & Securities Co. Economists Park Sung Hyun, said the rise in the employment rate will speed up the central bank may raise the benchmark interest rate process, but the European debt crisis, interest rates may continue to be postponed. .</ P> <P> yesterday, the South Korean central bank said the financial problems the euro zone is unlikely to lead to secondary depression, but the actual economic situation of countries and international financial market situation, there are early signs that the euro zone sovereign debt crisis has .damage to the global economy. .</ P> <P> and the current market for New Zealand's central bank calls for high interest rates, analysts widely expect the central bank will announce today New Zealand's interest rates by 2.5 basis points to 2.75%, and then step the Bank of Canada "footsteps." .Previously, New Zealand's central bank governor Bollard said the central bank may raise interest rates in small steps to commence, is no longer required due to low interest rates the economy. .This seems to New Zealand central bank's rate decision today sets the initial tone. .</ P> <P> In addition, Brazil's central bank on rate decision this week, the market will have a more consistent view, widely expected to raise interest rates 75 basis points a few, and the central bank will continue raising interest rates during the year. .</ P> <P> 6 9, the Brazilian National Geographic Bureau of Statistics data show strong growth in domestic demand, the first quarter of this year, Brazil's GDP grew 9%, and the inflation rate beyond government control .objectives. .Brazil's Central Bank President Menezes Gonzalez said recently that tight monetary policy being implemented. .</ P>.
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